SUMMARY
The Fund rose 2.5% in April, underperforming the Small Industrials by 1.1% and underperforming the Small Ordinaries by 0.2%. For the 12 months to April, the Fund was down 6.7%, outperforming the Small Industrials Index by 0.9% and outperforming the Small Ordinaries Index by 2.7%.
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COMMENTARY
Markets rose mildly in April around the globe on further short-term comfort that inflation may have peaked. Chinese equities bucked the trend (down 5%) with fears of slower growth feeding into a 9% fall in iron ore prices. Hence mining stocks underperformed, however gold stocks continued to rally with central bank buying, and fears over a recession increasing focus on the gold sector, which has rallied over 50% in six months.
The picture remains fluid, with further rate rises coming through in early May. In the short term, markets are anchoring to the outlook statement of central banks, which has proven a fraught proposition when we consider that eighteen months ago most central banks firmly indicated that rate rises were highly unlikely. Volatility is therefore likely, and we believe our positioning around avoiding companies with poor pricing power is still relevant.
Our key positive contributors during April were:
MA Financial (+17%) rose in a mild overall market rally and has bounced 29% from its March lows from what we considered oversold levels. NIB (+10%) again bounced from levels we believe were oversold following the acquisition and fundraising in 2022. AUB (+8%) rose based on the increasing likelihood of strong insurance rates in an inflationary environment. Carsales (+7%) continues to outperform given its superior growth rates and the recent increased investment in the Brazillian operations of Webmotors. ALS Group (+6%) rallied following a profit upgrade in the current buoyant environment for exploration budgets.
Our key negative contributors during April were:
Ardent Leisure (-13%) dropped as fear over domestic discretionary spending due to higher interest rates took effect. EBOS (-5%) corrected following a 6% rally in March. IVE Group (-4%), PSC Insurance (-3%), and Hansen (-2%) drifted without any obvious catalysts, likely reflecting stock market flows in the short term rather than any change in underlying valuations.