SUMMARY
The Fund fell 4.5% in February, underperforming the Small Industrials by 2.4% and underperforming the Small Ordinaries by 4.5%. For the 12 months to February, the Fund was up 13.1%, outperforming the Small Industrials Index by 14.3% and outperforming the Small Ordinaries Index by 8.0%.
COMMENTARY
Markets remained volatile during February with the Ukraine/Russia situation exacerbating nerves around inflation and higher interest rates. Across all markets, tech stocks underperformed further, with value sectors offsetting this weakness as markets embraced a “risk-off” standing. The US, Chinese and European markets fell 3-4%, while the Australian market actually rose 2.8% driven by gold and oil companies. Gold’s safe-haven status saw it rise by 6%, which saw Australian gold stocks rise by 18%. Oil prices also spiked 6% driving that sector higher.
Our Fund does not invest in resources stocks hence the large dispersion between our performance when compared to the Small Ordinaries (which is roughly 25% resources) and Small Industrials.
Results season kept us busy in February, with a large number of company meetings. We were pleased with the results of most of our investments, however there were some disruptive price moves in instances of minor slippage given the volatile nature of markets.
Our key positive movers in February were:
Aussie Broadband (+17%) rose following its result which showed faster than expected customer and profit growth. PSC Insurance (+8%) reported profit growth of 61% which was above our expectations. EQT Holdings (+5%) posted a 29% profit increase driven by cost control and stronger equity markets. IVE Group (+22%) revealed 104% EPS growth following a covid disrupted prior period and including the benefits of recent acquisitions. Propel Funerals (+4%) announced 15% revenue and 23% profit growth as volumes and revenue per funeral recovered from 2020’s depressed levels.
Our key negative movers in February were:
Uniti Wireless (-21%) was sold down despite revealing a 140% profit rise and maintaining its forecasts for the full year – the market clearly expecting a profit upgrade. City Chic (-20%) was dealt with harshly after posting a solid result, which featured a build-up in inventory in order to offset supply chain delays. This strategy is not without merit, however spooked investors who see inventory build-up as a potential overhang. NZX (-16%) retraced following a slightly softer result and capital raising in order to finance a minor acquisition and to bolster the balance sheet. MA Financial (-9%) drifted despite reporting a 28% increase in FUM and 21% boost to profits. Integral Diagnostics (-14%) fell despite a solid result which also included a capital raising and acquisition.
Overall, the dramatic short-term shift in global markets, which favoured value stocks over more stable (premium) earnings streams, added to the skittishness in stocks such as Uniti, NZX, Integral Diagnostics etc.