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Australian Equities Fund

A portfolio of Australian businesses with transparent and resilient business models

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July 2024 - Monthly REPORT

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Australian Equities Holdings

October 2, Wednesday 12:30 PM AEST
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An exceptionally strong start to the Financial Year

SUMMARY

  • The Fund generated a robust +5.1% return during July 2024.
  • By way of comparison, the Australian stock market rose by +3.8%, whilst our RBA cash rate plus 6% target equated to approximately +0.9% for the month.
  • Calendar year to date, the Fund has achieved a solid return of +9.4%, comfortably ahead of both the market (+8.2%) and our RBA cash plus 6% benchmark (+6.0%) over the same period.

It is important to highlight that these strong returns were generated while simultaneously balancing performance with our focus on capital preservation.  For some time now we have been commenting on exuberant investor expectations creating a disconnect between share price implied valuations and a materially higher cost of money environment. Consequently, the portfolio has retained its disciplined approach of focusing on appropriately priced, defensive business models under pinned by healthy cashflows. The Fund also has over c10% in cash, highlighting our discipline, with the anticipation that liquidity to take advantage of opportunities will be very beneficial for our unit holders.

Investors have become extremely twitchy over several forward-looking measures including inflation, employment statistics and their impact on interest rates. Market sentiment around the implications of each reported number has also become somewhat complicated. A slowing economy means lower interest rates which means higher asset prices; full employment implies an overheating economy which requires higher interest rates – lower asset prices. So bad is good and good is bad… Our view is probably along similar lines except that we focus on the US’ deficits and its ability to service them by growing the economy. Given the enormous increase in interest costs (both absolute value of deficit and interest rates have increased) we worry about the implications of a hard landing and the probability of stagflation. Domestically the level of the A$ continues to puzzle us. Our negative view on sticky inflation implying we are out of step with the US economy should have seen a larger rally in the A$. Are we underestimating the risks around a faltering Chinese economy and its effect on our exports?

We note that much of the domestic share market’s performance during July was driven by a multiple re-rating, as opposed to an improved earnings outlook.  That is to say stocks simply became more expensive during the month.  The ASX 200 finished the month on 17x aggregated forward earnings, up from 16.4x at the end of June. We have previously expressed our view that the negative impacts from central bank experiments with quantitative easing, deeply negative real interest rates and ever-expanding fiscal deficits are still to play out, and whilst data points in July were taken positively, more recent data, particularly in the US has seen sentiment swing firmly back into negative territory.  Amidst this period of increasing volatility, we believe that a focus on strong business models, backed by healthy cash generation and stewarded by competent management comes to the fore.  With a defensive bias and a lower equity exposure, the fund has held up well relative to the market amidst the difficult trading conditions so far in August. Essentially, we insist on getting paid for owning companies by their earnings yields rather than by expanding multiples of these earnings.

PORTFOLIO

Top Holdings (alphabetically)

BHP Group Ltd
Australia
Materials
BHP Group Limited operates as a mining company. The Company engages in the exploration, development, production, and processing of iron ore, metallurgical coal, and copper. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.
CSL Ltd
Australia
Health Care
CSL Limited develops, manufactures and markets human pharmaceutical and diagnostic products derived from human plasma. The Company's products include pediatric and adult vaccines, infection, pain medicine, skin disorder remedies, antivenoms, anticoagulants, and immunoglobulins.
Medibank Pvt Ltd
Australia
Financials
Medibank Private Limited offers private health care coverage for hospital and ancillary services. The Company offers a range of health insurance products such as health, travel, pet, and life coverage to overseas students and visitors. Medibank serves customers throughout Australia.
Metcash Ltd
Australia
Consumer Staples
Metcash Ltd. engages in wholesaling, distributing, supplying, and supporting independent retailers and several other businesses networks. It operates through the following segments: Food, Liquor, and Hardware. The Food segment includes the distribution of a range of products and services to independent supermarket and convenience retail outlets. The Liquor segment offers liquor products to independent retail outlets and hotels. The Hardware segment consists of hardware products distributed to independent retail outlets and the operation of company owned retail stores. The company was founded by Joe David in 1927 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
National Australia Bank Ltd
Australia
Financials
National Australia Bank Limited (NAB) provides banking financial solutions. The Company offers internet banking, accounts, insurance, credit cards, home loans, and personal loans. NAB serves customers in Australia.
nib holdings Ltd/Australia
Australia
Financials
NIB Holdings Ltd. offers health insurance products. Depending on the specific product, the Company covers ambulance costs; and reimburses for costs not covered by Medicare including dental, optical, physiotherapy and natural therapies; and some hospitalization costs.
ResMed Inc
Australia
Health Care
ResMed Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets medical equipment for the treatment of sleep disordered breathing. The Company sells diagnostic and treatment devices in various countries through its subsidiaries and independent distributors.
SG Fleet Group Ltd
Australia
Industrials
SG Fleet Group Ltd provides vehicle leasing and fleet management services. The Company offers its services to corporate and government customers and individual employees of those customers.
Telstra Group Ltd
Australia
Communication Services
Telstra Corporation Limited is a full service domestic and international telecommunications provider for Australia. The Company provides telephone exchange lines to homes and businesses, supplying local, long distance and international telephone calls and supplying mobile telecommunications services. Telstra also provides data, internet, on-line services and directory services.
Woolworths Group Ltd
Australia
Consumer Staples
Woolworths Group Limited offers retail operations. The Company operates general merchandise consumer stores and supermarkets, as well as engages in procurement of food, liquor, and products. Woolworths Group also provides hotels which includes pubs, food, accommodation, and gaming operations. Woolworths Group serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

Sector Breakdown

Capitalisation Breakdown

Country Breakdown

Custom Sector Breakdown

PERFORMANCE

Performance Table

NET PERFORMANCE FOR PERIODS ENDING 31 Jul 2024 1
1 MTH 1 YEAR 3 YEARS P.A. 5 YEARS P.A. 10 YEARS P.A. SINCE INCEPTION P.A.
Australian Equities Fund 5.1% 10.5% 3.3% 5.6% 6.8% 8.8%
Fund Objective: RBA Cash Rate plus 6% 0.9% 10.3% 8.6% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5%
ASX Accumulation All Ordinaries Index 3.8% 13.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 7.1%

Swipe horizontally to see all columns

Performance Chart

NET PERFORMANCE SINCE INCEPTION2

COMMENTARY

The Fund was rewarded during July for its conviction across a number of core holdings that were among the primary detractors to performance in the prior quarter – with leading contributions from ResMed, Telstra, Evolution Mining (Gold +8.4% for the month), Ryman Healthcare, Credit Corp and Super Retail Group.

Telstra continues to be a mainstay for the Fund although it was a detractor from performance over the previous financial year.  Telstra’s earnings momentum remains solid, in particular, the core mobile division and the inflation linked recurring NBN income stream (combined >85% of total valuation).  We wrote previously of the factors impacting Telstra’s share price performance in FY24, in particular around pricing announcements late in the period, and our rationale for looking through the near term noise.  Subsequent events have validated our initial analysis, and with clarity now restored on the outlook for pricing, Telstra shares are trading >15% above lows following the May announcement, with most of that gain playing out in July.

Ryman Healthcare was another key detractor for the Fund in FY24, as it continued to navigate its way through a substantial development pipeline amidst rising interest rates and a challenging property market environment.  The challenge for our holding is that whilst we believe the shares to be undervalued at current levels, its asset portfolio is characterised by long dated returns, meaning even substantial improvements applied now can take a period of time to work their way into cash returns.  We note the recent third party bid for Ryman’s peer Arvida at a substantial premium to trading value as evidence of a sector that has been oversold. We have further been encouraged by the renewal at both management and board level, and that our strong feedback around focusing on cash generation and a more pragmatic perspective of returns on invested capital have been adopted by the board, and incorporated into managements KPI’s.  The shares responded well in July, up by more than 30% over the month. We nonetheless continue to monitor our holding closely.

Detractors during July were few, and focused around SG Fleet (consolidating after a strong FY24) and Contact Energy.  Purchases were limited as is typical in a strong equity market, whilst the Fund was an active profit taker into strength across a number of names including Telstra, JB Hi Fi, CSL and the banks.  The CSR transaction closed in July, with the fund crystalising the previously realised gains made as a result of the Saint-Goban acquisition of the company.

We continue to believe that the Fund is well positioned to navigate the existing volatility and deliver on our objectives of cash plus 6% in the medium term, given its defensive positioning, with solid balance sheets, and focus on businesses generating cash now.  At month end the portfolio was generating an after tax cash earnings yield of 6.1% for FY25 – underpinning our focus on fundamental value.  Our expectation of these earnings, combined with further earnings growth, capital returns and potential for valuation multiple uplifts provide comfort in achieving our return objectives.

Our longer held view that inflation will continue to percolate through the global economy has now been adopted by consensus, following fluctuating expectations year to date.  From a valuation perspective, this environment typically favours portfolios whose valuation is predominately focused on current earnings and cash flows (such as this Fund), as opposed to those whose valuations are more dependent on future earnings and cash flows.  Our cash balance remains healthy and ready to deploy should future opportunities present.

We remain as focused as ever on our primary objectives of capital preservation and generating a reasonable real return for our investors.  We continue to believe this is best served by a disciplined approach and consistent investment methodology. A variety of good businesses run by honest and competent management teams at the right price will create a well-diversified portfolio of ever-growing cash earnings streams.

PERFORMANCE TABLE

FUND PERFORMANCE (A$, NET OF FEES)
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)
Year Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun FUND FYTD RBA CASH RATE FYTD ASX ALL ORDS FYTD
2024/2025 5.1%4.9%0.7%4.3%
2023/2024 3.3%-0.7%-3.7%-3.3%3.9%5.1%2.4%-0.7%3.2%-2%-0.6%1.9%8.6%4.2%12.5%
2022/2023 6.4%-0.1%-6.1%2.7%3%-2.3%6.1%-1.2%0%2.7%-2.3%1.2%10%2.9%14.8%
2021/2022 0.3%3%-0.4%-1.1%-0.6%1%-6.7%1.3%1.9%-0.6%-3%-7%-12%0.2%-7.4%
2020/2021 1.5%2%-2%1.5%10.2%2.3%-0.9%0.3%3.1%3.6%2.6%1.1%27.7%0.2%30.2%
2019/2020 3.2%0.6%1.4%-0.5%3.5%-3.3%2.3%-3.5%-19.5%8.5%6.2%0.1%-3.9%0.7%-7.2%
2018/2019 1.3%3.4%-2.5%-8%-1.6%-2%2.4%3.4%-1.1%2.9%4.9%1.2%3.6%1.5%11%
2017/2018 0.6%1%0.1%1.9%3.2%0.1%1.5%-1.3%-3%-0%2.5%1.5%8.1%1.5%13.7%
2016/2017 6.1%2.3%0.3%-3%-0.3%3.4%-0.8%0.7%1.8%1.7%-4.7%2.7%10.2%1.5%13.1%
2015/2016 3.3%-4.2%-0.6%4.1%3.4%0.2%-1.8%-3.2%3.1%0.7%4.6%-1.6%7.7%2%2%
2014/2015 1.9%1.5%-2.4%2.5%0%1.4%2.6%4%1.3%-1.7%1.1%-3.5%8.9%2.4%5.7%
2013/2014 2%2.3%1.4%2.3%-1.2%1.3%-2%1.4%-0.4%1.2%1.5%-1%9.1%2.5%17.6%
2012/2013 2.9%2.5%0.2%2.4%2.8%1.8%5.2%4.4%0%3.5%-1.3%-2.5%24%3.1%20.7%
2011/2012 -3.1%1.4%-2.4%4.7%-2.4%1%2.9%3.6%4.2%0.7%-1.1%-1.1%8.3%4.4%-7%
2010/2011 5.1%1.1%3.6%1.8%-0.1%3%0.7%1.5%1%0%-0.8%-0.5%17.4%4.7%12.2%
2009/2010 3.5%6.1%3.8%1.2%1%2.5%-3.6%1.1%3.6%-0.2%-4%-2.5%12.5%3.7%13.8%
2008/2009 -1%3.5%-4.7%-9%-5.3%3.9%0.2%-1.4%7.9%4.4%2.1%3.8%3%4.8%-22.1%

2024/2025

Jul 5.1%
Aug -0.1%
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun

2023/2024

Jul 3.3%
Aug -0.7%
Sep -3.7%
Oct -3.3%
Nov 3.9%
Dec 5.1%
Jan 2.4%
Feb -0.7%
Mar 3.2%
Apr -2%
May -0.6%
Jun 1.9%
FUND FYTD 8.6%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 4.2%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 12.5%

2022/2023

Jul 6.4%
Aug -0.1%
Sep -6.1%
Oct 2.7%
Nov 3%
Dec -2.3%
Jan 6.1%
Feb -1.2%
Mar 0%
Apr 2.7%
May -2.3%
Jun 1.2%
FUND FYTD 10%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 2.9%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 14.8%

2021/2022

Jul 0.3%
Aug 3%
Sep -0.4%
Oct -1.1%
Nov -0.6%
Dec 1%
Jan -6.7%
Feb 1.3%
Mar 1.9%
Apr -0.6%
May -3%
Jun -7%
FUND FYTD -12%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 0.2%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD -7.4%

2020/2021

Jul 1.5%
Sep -2%
Oct 1.5%
Nov 10.2%
Dec 2.3%
Jan -0.9%
Feb 0.3%
Mar 3.1%
Apr 3.6%
May 2.6%
Aug 2%
Jun 1.1%
FUND FYTD 27.7%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 0.2%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 30.2%

2019/2020

Jul 3.2%
Aug 0.6%
Sep 1.4%
Oct -0.5%
Nov 3.5%
Dec -3.3%
Jan 2.3%
Feb -3.5%
Apr 8.5%
Mar -19.5%
May 6.2%
Jun 0.1%
FUND FYTD -3.9%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 0.7%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD -7.2%

2018/2019

Jul 1.3%
Aug 3.4%
Sep -2.5%
Oct -8%
Nov -1.6%
Dec -2%
Jan 2.4%
Feb 3.4%
Mar -1.1%
Apr 2.9%
May 4.9%
Jun 1.2%
FUND FYTD 3.6%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 1.5%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 11%

2017/2018

Jul 0.6%
Aug 1%
Sep 0.1%
Oct 1.9%
Nov 3.2%
Dec 0.1%
Jan 1.5%
Feb -1.3%
Mar -3%
Apr -0%
May 2.5%
Jun 1.5%
FUND FYTD 8.1%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 1.5%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 13.7%

2016/2017

Jul 6.1%
Aug 2.3%
Sep 0.3%
Oct -3%
Nov -0.3%
Dec 3.4%
Jan -0.8%
Feb 0.7%
Mar 1.8%
Apr 1.7%
May -4.7%
Jun 2.7%
FUND FYTD 10.2%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 1.5%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 13.1%

2015/2016

Jul 3.3%
Aug -4.2%
Sep -0.6%
Oct 4.1%
Nov 3.4%
Dec 0.2%
Jan -1.8%
Feb -3.2%
Mar 3.1%
Apr 0.7%
May 4.6%
Jun -1.6%
FUND FYTD 7.7%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 2%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 2%

2014/2015

Jul 1.9%
Aug 1.5%
Sep -2.4%
Oct 2.5%
Nov 0%
Dec 1.4%
Jan 2.6%
Feb 4%
Mar 1.3%
Apr -1.7%
May 1.1%
Jun -3.5%
FUND FYTD 8.9%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 2.4%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 5.7%

2013/2014

Jul 2%
Aug 2.3%
Sep 1.4%
Oct 2.3%
Nov -1.2%
Dec 1.3%
Jan -2%
Feb 1.4%
Mar -0.4%
Apr 1.2%
May 1.5%
Jun -1%
FUND FYTD 9.1%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 2.5%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 17.6%

2012/2013

Jul 2.9%
Aug 2.5%
Sep 0.2%
Oct 2.4%
Nov 2.8%
Dec 1.8%
Jan 5.2%
Feb 4.4%
Mar 0%
Apr 3.5%
May -1.3%
Jun -2.5%
FUND FYTD 24%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 3.1%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 20.7%

2011/2012

Jul -3.1%
Aug 1.4%
Sep -2.4%
Oct 4.7%
Nov -2.4%
Dec 1%
Jan 2.9%
Feb 3.6%
Mar 4.2%
Apr 0.7%
May -1.1%
Jun -1.1%
FUND FYTD 8.3%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 4.4%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD -7%

2010/2011

Jul 5.1%
Aug 1.1%
Sep 3.6%
Oct 1.8%
Nov -0.1%
Dec 3%
Jan 0.7%
Feb 1.5%
Mar 1%
Apr 0%
May -0.8%
Jun -0.5%
FUND FYTD 17.4%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 4.7%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 12.2%

2009/2010

Jul 3.5%
Aug 6.1%
Sep 3.8%
Oct 1.2%
Nov 1%
Dec 2.5%
Jan -3.6%
Feb 1.1%
Mar 3.6%
Apr -0.2%
May -4%
Jun -2.5%
FUND FYTD 12.5%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 3.7%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD 13.8%

2008/2009

Jul -1%
Aug 3.5%
Sep -4.7%
Oct -9%
Nov -5.3%
Dec 3.9%
Jan 0.2%
Feb -1.4%
Mar 7.9%
Apr 4.4%
May 2.1%
Jun 3.8%
FUND FYTD 3%
RBA CASH RATE FYTD 4.8%
ASX ALL ORDS FYTD -22.1%

PROFILE

Platform Availability

  • AMP MyNorth
  • Asgard Element (Masterfund)
  • Asgard – E Wrap, Master Trust, Infinity
  • AET Wholesale Access Fund
  • BT Panorama
  • BT Wrap
  • Colonial First Choice
  • Centric IDPS
  • First Wrap
  • FNZ
  • HUB24
  • IOOF Pursuit
  • IOOF
  • Macquarie Wrap
  • MLC Wrap
  • Mason Stevens
  • Navigator
  • Netwealth
  • OneVue
  • Omniport(lifespan)
  • Powerwrap
  • Praemium
  • uXchange

STATISTICAL DATA

PORTFOLIO SUMMARY
VOLATILITY 3
11.4%
NUMBER OF STOCKS
26
BETA 4
0.63
MAXIMUM DRAW DOWN
-23.1%

FEATURES

  • APIR CODE PCL0005AU
  • REDEMPTION PRICEA$ 1.8006
  • FEES * Management Fee: 1.025%
    Performance Fee: 10.25%
  • Minimum initial investment A$10,000
  • FUM AT MONTH END A$ 546.01m
  • STRATEGY INCEPTION DATE 1 July 2008
  • BenchmarkThe RBA Cash Rate Target plus Australian equity risk premium.

Fund Managers

Rhett Kessler

CIO and Senior Fund Manager

Anton du Preez

Deputy CIO and Fund Manager

Mark Christensen

Fund Manager

Description

The Pengana Australian Equities Fund aims to enhance and preserve investor wealth over a 5- year period via a concentrated core portfolio of principally Australian listed securities. The Fund uses fundamental research to evaluate investments capable of generating the target return over the medium term. Essentially, we are in the business of seeking to preserve capital and make money – we are not in the business of trying to beat the market. We remain focused on acquiring and holding investments that offer predictable, sustainable and well-stewarded after-tax cash earnings yields in excess of 6% that will grow to double digit levels as a percentage of our original entry price in five years. We believe that building a well-diversified portfolio of these “gifts that keep on giving” represents a meaningful way to create and preserve financial independence for our co-investors.

EXPLORE OUR FUNDS

Harding Loevner International Fund
Harding Loevner International Fund
Axiom International Fund
Axiom International Fund
Axiom International Fund (Hedged)
Axiom International Fund (Hedged)
Australian Equities Fund
Australian Equities Fund
High Conviction Property Securities Fund
High Conviction Property Securities Fund
Global Small Companies Fund
Global Small Companies Fund
WHEB Sustainable Impact Fund
WHEB Sustainable Impact Fund
Emerging Companies Fund
Emerging Companies Fund
High Conviction Equities Fund
High Conviction Equities Fund
Pengana International Equities Limited (ASX: PIA)
Pengana International Equities Limited (ASX: PIA)
Private Equity Trust (ASX: PE1)
Private Equity Trust (ASX: PE1)
Pengana Global Private Credit Trust (ASX:PCX)
Pengana Global Private Credit Trust (ASX:PCX)
Alpha Israel Fund
Alpha Israel Fund
Pengana Diversified Private Credit Fund
Pengana Diversified Private Credit Fund
CONTACT INVESTOR SERVICES
INVEST NOW

1. Net performance figures are shown after all fees and expenses, and assume reinvestment of distributions. The benchmark of cash rate plus 6% p.a. is included in the chart as it relates to the Fund’s investment objective and performance fee.  The Fund may invest up to 100% of its assets in equity securities.  The greater risk of investing in equities is reflected in the addition of a margin above the cash rate. No allowance has been made for buy/sell spreads. Please refer to the PDS for information regarding risks. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance, the value of investments can go up and down.
2. Inception 1st July 2008.
3. Annualised standard deviation since inception.
4. Relative to ASX All Ordinaries Index. Using daily returns.
*(including GST, net of RITC) of the increase in net asset value subject to the RBA Cash Rate & High Water Mark. For further information regarding fees please see the PDS available on our website.