SUMMARY
The Fund generated a -2.0% return in April. By way of comparison, the Australian stock market fell by -2.7%, whilst the return of the RBA cash rate plus 6% equated to approximately +0.9% for the month. Calendar year to date, the Fund has achieved a return of +2.8%, ahead of the market growth rate of 2.6%, and, following a softer month, is now tracking moderately below the cash plus 6% benchmark of +3.4% over the same period.
The year’s strong run in equity markets came to a halt in April as the inflation rate and policy paths were re-priced. The momentum behind expectations for near term rate cuts was challenged by higher inflation prints and stronger global growth, with the resulting shift in consensus on central bank policy towards a higher for longer narrative weighing heavily on equity markets during the month. The Fed is now priced to only cut once in 2024 (not so long ago it was as many as 7 cuts), and RBA pricing is even showing the prospect of a hike. The market weakness provided an opportunity for the Fund to deploy cash during the month, with purchases outweighing disposals by 2 to 1.