SUMMARY
The Fund fell 2.9% in May, underperforming the Small Industrials by 1.2% and outperforming the Small Ordinaries by 0.3%. For the 12 months to May, the Fund was down 1.6%, outperforming the Small Industrials Index by 0.4% and outperforming the Small Ordinaries Index by 4.2%.
COMMENTARY
Markets were mixed in May, with the US market up 0.7% despite falling markets in Europe and Asia. Chinese economic activity is spluttering following the bounce enjoyed following the re-opening in late 2022, driving the Chinese market down over 8% in the month. Offsetting this was a 6% rise in the tech sector (NASDAQ) in the US following a mini-boom in AI related stocks. The Australian market fell 2.6% as resources stocks felt the pain of the Chinese data, notwithstanding a 10% rise in local tech stocks. Consumer discretionary stocks were the worst performing sector following trading updates from Wesfarmers, and a range of smallcap retailers, who have noted a sharp contraction in activity as inflation and higher interest rates bite. We remain highly wary of this sector.
Our key contributors in May included:
Gentrack (+30%) rose sharply following another upgrade to earnings forecasts posted with the recent strong results. Kelsian (+11%) continues to rally based on its defensive revenue profile and natural hedge against inflation. Hansen Technologies (+10%) found new buying support in a month where NASDAQ outperformed the broader market. NIB Holdings (+9%) confirmed the earnings upside from the recent NDIS services operation. Technology One (+8%) posted a strong result including 25% profit growth and high confidence in future growth as its customers migrate to cloud based software packages.
Key detractors during May included:
Aussie Broadband (-16%) was soft without any obvious catalyst. G8 Education (-14%) has retraced recently, perhaps due to concerns over the rising wage levels in childcare given the current inflationary environment (which we believe can be offset with price increases). Lifestyle Communities (-11%) drifted after disclosing short term softness in new settlements, despite maintaining very strong medium term growth forecasts. ALS Group (-12%) posted a reasonable result however noted a slight softening in demand from the resources sector given a slowdown in Chinese economic activity. HUB 24 (-12%) has softened lately due to anaemic flows into managed funds given a broader risk aversion among domestic investors.