Platform Availability
AMP North, APEX NZ, BT Asgard, BT Panorama, CFS Edge, Centric, Dash, Hub24, IOOF Expand, Macquarie Wrap, Mason Stevens, Netwealth, Praemium, Powerwrap
Description
The Pengana Emerging Companies Fund combines the skills of highly experienced small company investors (collectively over 45 years’ experience) with a limited fund size and an objective of providing above market returns over the medium term. Our benchmark is the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index. The fund managers Steve Black and Ed Prendergast are part owners of the business and investors in the Fund, providing a strong incentive to perform. The Fund has strong research ratings from all major research houses and over the period since its inception has delivered returns well above benchmark.
COMMENTARY
October saw global markets drift, despite a relief rally in the bond markets. The US market fell 0.9%, driven by a correction in tech stocks. NASDAQ fell 5.3%. The AI sector has been phenomenally strong over the past 2 years, and this unwound during October, with funding for neocloud stocks becoming a challenge. A number of IPOs failed or were cancelled (eg Firmus), and credit spreads also blew out. Community backlash against data centres is also placing pressure on potential growth rates. Oil prices rose a further 14% in October as the Iran conflict drags on, weighing on markets and sentiment. Gold prices went the other way, falling 7% in the month.
The Australian stock market rose 1.4% with industrials sharply outperforming resources stocks. Bank stocks rose 7%, notwithstanding likely higher interest rates (confirmed in early November) and a sharp correction in domestic house prices. Australian consumers are under pressure from falling house prices, higher interest rates and petrol price rises.
Given the recent Firmus experience, it is worth reminding our investors that we do not invest in unlisted companies, and we maintain strict valuation criteria when assessing future growth opportunities.
Our best contributors in October included:
The financial platform sector rallied in October after being oversold due to higher bond rates, and slightly subdued flows due to the recent tax changes: HUB 24 (+15%), Generation Development (+13%), and Netwealth (+7%). Charter Hall (+9%) rallied with the listed property sector, with investors perhaps already looking through higher interest rates to a more stable rate environment. Catapult (+7%) rallied as investors gain comfort that AI will not necessarily impact the company as earlier feared.
Our detractors in October included:
Mader Group (-13%) fell after the resignation of the CFO, which we believe does not indicate a change in the long-term growth value. ZIP Co (-12%) reported slightly higher bad debt charges in the US in the first quarter. Symal (-11%) traded lower, perhaps in line with other contractors that are heavily exposed to data centre capex, which is now under a mild cloud given community pushback on DCs in residential areas. FDC Consolidated (-9%) corrected in the absence of any specific news or catalysts, as did Energy One (-9%).