Platform Availability
AMP North, APEX NZ, BT Asgard, BT Panorama, CFS Edge, Centric, Dash, Hub24, IOOF Expand, Macquarie Wrap, Mason Stevens, Netwealth, Praemium, Powerwrap
Description
The Pengana Emerging Companies Fund combines the skills of highly experienced small company investors (collectively over 45 years’ experience) with a limited fund size and an objective of providing above market returns over the medium term. Our benchmark is the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index. The fund managers Steve Black and Ed Prendergast are part owners of the business and investors in the Fund, providing a strong incentive to perform. The Fund has strong research ratings from all major research houses and over the period since its inception has delivered returns well above benchmark.
COMMENTARY
US markets were flat in July, with tech stocks falling 3%, offsetting a slight rally in broader industrials as earnings season proved positive. The correction in the NASDAQ should not come as a surprise, given the 21% rally in the prior three months, driven by AI stocks. Bond markets faded, reflecting the strong economy and earnings season, which likely skews the outlook away from rate cuts.
Oil prices spiked dramatically again in July, rising 24% as fears the Iran conflict would drag on. Reversing earlier confidence that the situation was easing, investors now fear the supply disruptions will continue. We now move into a more critical period with inventories now run down, especially in China, which could easily see a squeeze over the coming months. This situation remains completely uncertain, and will likely be a key driver of all global markets and economies throughout the year.
The Australian share market rose 2.3% with industrials (primarily banks) outperforming resources stocks. Smallcap stocks underperformed the largecaps given the lack of bank exposure, with the mining sector again underperforming industrials. A milder CPI outcome gave the RBA room to delay further interest rate increases; however, the strong labour market and fiscal stimulus saw the RBA warn that further rises were not out of the question.
Our best contributors in July included:
Generation Development (+15%) and HUB 24 (+17%) both posted solid quarterly flow outcomes, resulting in strong bounces. The sector has been heavily shorted, hence a sharp rally on moderately positive news. Mainfreight (+15%) released its first quarter numbers, showing profit growth of 78% as NZ and Australian operations enjoyed margin expansion and healthy revenue growth. Energy One (+10%) received an indicative takeover from a European rival, subject to due diligence. Channel Infrastructure (+9%) continues to rally with fuel certainty heavily supporting investor sentiment.
Our detractors in July included:
Zip Co (-21%) is an especially volatile stock (and is therefore a small position in our fund) and fell back after a 109% rally in the three preceding months. Wagners (-15%) fell back, following a 108% rally in the June financial year. The company is well exposed to SE Queensland construction and pre Brisbane Olympics building activity, and a correction after such a strong rally is not a surprise. Mader Group (-13%) drifted in the absence of stock specific news. Imdex (-10%) and ALS Group (-5%) drifted back, again after strong full year rallies, as traders took profits.