Phoenix Financial Ltd. engages in the provision of insurance products. It operates through the following business segments: Life Insurance and Savings, Health Insurance, Property and Casualty Insurance, Pension and Provident, Financial Services, Insurance Agencies, and Credit. The Life Insurance and Savings segment includes life insurance products and related coverage, and management of pension and retirement. The Health Insurance segment offers nursing insurance, medical reimbursement insurance, surgeries and transplants, dental insurance, travel insurance, and foreign workers insurance. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment is composed of motor insurance, motor property, other liabilities, and property and other subsegments. The Pension and Provident segment deals with the management of pension funds and provident funds through The Phoenix Pension and Provident. The Financial Services segment is composed of investment management activities, including mutual funds, ETFs, brokerage services, underwriting services, market making in various securities and other services. The Insurance Agencies segment represents the activities of pension arrangement agencies and other insurance agencies in the group. The Credit segment refers to financing against postdated checks, clearing, and management of credit vouchers services, financing against real estate properties, loans and credit, equipment financing and supplier financing. The company was founded by David Hachmi in 1949 and is headquartered in Givatayim, Israel.
COMMENTARY
Market review
The Israeli capital market sustained its positive momentum throughout July, mirroring the upward trend in global equity markets. Internationally, investor attention remained centred on President Trump’s proposed tariff policies. Domestically, focus shifted to geopolitical developments, particularly the negotiations surrounding a potential hostage deal. As prospects for an agreement waned toward the end of the month, local market gains began to recede.
Another key influence on the Israeli market was the evolving outlook for interest rate reductions. Expectations for aggressive rate cuts moderated due to cautious commentary from the Governor of the Bank of Israel and persistently high inflation figures.
Our medium-term base-case scenario remains unchanged: cessation of hostilities, interest rate reductions, a substantial increase in domestic investment, and normalisation agreements with neighbouring countries.
As we enter August, a month typically marked by reduced liquidity and the release of second-quarter earnings reports, we anticipate increased market volatility. Accordingly, we are prioritising risk management and positioning the portfolio for maximum flexibility, with a strong emphasis on diversification and liquidity.
Portfolio commentary
We made a slight reduction in overall exposure compared to June, primarily by trimming our positions in the semiconductor and insurance sectors. Both sectors have experienced significant year-to-date gains, presenting an opportunity for modest profit-taking.
Semiconductors and Financials remained our leading sectors. Top contributors included Camtek (+15%), Qualitau (+11%), Clal Insurance (+20%), Phoenix Insurance (+10%), while detractors included Nayax (−11%) and ICL (−8%).
Nayax announced a 6% reduction in workforce, which the market interpreted as a signal of business deceleration and potentially weak second-quarter results. However, we view this move as a strategic adjustment following an aggressive acquisition strategy and a near tripling of headcount since its 2021 IPO. We expect the Q2 2025 results to show projected revenue growth of 30%, driven by a 23% increase in customer base.
The 15% U.S. tariff on Israeli goods may negatively impact exports. However, relative to global standards, this rate is on the lower end, potentially enhancing Israel’s competitive positioning. Bank of Israel data suggests a possible economic contraction in Q2, largely due to the conflict with Iran.
Macroeconomic Developments
Consumer credit card spending declined by 9.4% month-over-month in June and 3.5% quarter-over-quarter. Encouragingly, July data indicates a strong rebound in private consumption, with a 13% year-over-year increase in credit card purchases.
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecasted at approximately 0.30%, while August is expected to reach around 0.70%, translating to a year-over-year rate of +2.80%. The inflation outlook for the coming year remains between 2.20% and 2.30%.
Market expectations for interest rate cuts have moderated. The probability of a rate cut in August stands at 15%, with a 40% chance in September. The market currently anticipates the interest rate to settle at 3.80% in a year’s time.