Platform Availability
AMP North, BT Panorama, Centric, Dash, Hub24, Macquarie Wrap, Mason Stevens, Netwealth, Praemium
Description
A Property Fund focussed on capital security, income yield, and sustainable growth.
The Fund believes each security has an underlying or intrinsic value and that securities become mispriced at times relative to their value and each other.
The Fund seeks to exploit such market inefficiencies by employing an active, value based investment style to capture the underlying cashflows generated from real estate assets and/or real estate businesses.
The Fund believes that responsible investing is important to generate long term sustainable returns. Incorporating ESG factors along-side financial measures provides a complete view of the risk/return characteristics of our property investments.
The Fund is benchmark unaware. All positions are high conviction and assessed on a risk-reward basis, resulting in a concentrated portfolio of 10-20 securities.
COMMENTARY
FY24 reporting season has been unusually volatile for A-REITs, making stock selection even more critical in delivering returns. Charter Hall Group (CHC +14.27%) was the best performer in the month and Goodman Group (GMG -4.84%) the worst. CHC’s share price rallied following the release of its results. Whilst it delivered FY24 earnings in line with market expectations, guidance for FY25 was better than expected even with no performance fees assumed. Management had a bullish tone suggesting that the valuation cycle is at the trough and transactions will pick up again over the next year, which is a key driver for the stock. GMG on the other hand achieved strong earnings growth of +14% in FY24 ahead of its initial guidance of +9%. However, despite continued progress on its data centre developments (now 40% of work in progress), which will drive higher development returns, delivery timeframes will take longer than for logistics. The market also wanted to see tangible evidence of leases with hyperscalers and new capital partnerships to satisfy the stock’s high PE multiple of >30x. We view the relative weakness in share price performance for GMG in terms of the stock taking a breather, with investors taking profits after returning +44% over the last year.
The office sector, the Fund’s key underweight, has been a notable underperformer within the large cap diversified REIT space, with poor free cashflow due to elevated incentives of 30%-40% leaving lower levels of retained earnings from which to fund committed capital expenditure programs. As a result, we saw dividend cuts and asset sales being heavily featured for groups such as Dexus Group (DXS), Mirvac Group (MGR), and Charter Hall Long WALE (CLW).
In large cap REITs, we continue to prefer quality asset owners with strong free cash flow generation such as Scentre Group (retail) and Stockland (integrated residential and funds management platform) – these two REITs have significantly outperformed their sector counterparts in Vicinity and Mirvac over the last year. Stockland in particular has been able to successfully manage and grow its master-planned community portfolio despite an aggressive rate hiking cycle, supplementing this with inorganic growth in land lease through Halcyon. At the same time, it has shifted its growth off balance sheet through the establishment of new masterplanned community and land lease funds, driving less cyclical and higher returning, more annuity-style earnings.
Our exposure to alternative real estate continues to drive performance for the Fund. NextDC, the Fund’s non-index exposure to data centers, jumped +8.4% on 5 September 2024 after it was announced that it would be entering the FTSE NAREIT Index. It is up +60.4% on our initial position acquired in late 2020. Land lease communities is another sector in which we have long-term high conviction. Our investment in Ingenia Communities Group (INA) has returned +28% since the Fund acquired its position in the stock in late 2023.
Our strategy to invest in high quality REITs with a strong balance sheet means that we are not reliant on future rate cuts in order to deliver performance. This has been demonstrated by the Fund delivering +16.26% p.a. return over the past two years, outperforming the benchmark return of +15.16% p.a., in an environment of the sharpest interest rate rises in over a decade.