SUMMARY
The Fund rose 3.1% in July, underperforming the Small Industrials by 2.0% and underperforming the Small Ordinaries by 0.4%. For the 12 months to July, the Fund was up 17.2%, outperforming the Small Industrials Index by 4.5% and outperforming the Small Ordinaries Index by 7.9%.
COMMENTARY
Global markets were mixed in July with US stocks rising 1% notwithstanding a 1% fall in the NASDAQ. Markets remain heavily data driven, with each new data point seemingly creating a new set of expectations around interest rates and the outlook for the economy.
The Australian sharemarket rose 4.2% following a mild CPI release which softened expectations of a rate hike. Domestic discretionary retailers rose 12% in July, suggesting a view that the patchy retail environment may improve should rates remain stable or fall.
Early August has seen a spike in volatility globally, driven by fears of a harder landing in the US economy. While this volatility gained much media attention, the quantum of the moves so far does not constitute a collapse by any means. To illustrate, as at mid August, the US market has fallen less than 4% in the month. We anticipate short term volatility to continue, and remain wary of making bold assumptions on interest rates and economic activity given the clear uncertainty.
Our key positive contributors in July were:
EQT Holdings (+11%) and Charter Hall (+13%) both rallied due to the overall strength in investment markets which creates a tailwind for earnings. ALS Group (+10%) continues to rise on the expectation that the higher gold price will feed through to enhanced exploration activity. Technology One rose 11% following bullish medium term comments at its investor day. Mainfreight (+11%) rose despite a slightly softer Q1 trading update.
Our key negative contributors in July were:
Aussie Broadband (-8%) reacted to news that earnings would be impacted by higher costs associated with the loss of the Origin contract. Jumbo Interactive (-5%) drifted in a market otherwise focussed on more cyclical stocks. Lifestyle Communities (-23%) disclosed a further slowdown in settlements vindicating our earlier decision to dramatically reduce our exposure to the stock (our residual holding was very small, hence this event had minimal impact on performance). Cosol (-14%), a smaller position in the fund, drifted after a 30% rally in the prior three months.